Upgrading because EV need the power is looked at suspiciously. If an entrepreneur says he needs power for his factory and they’ll ask by what date he needs the lines.
That’s not the only new kid on the block. AI and blockchain eat tons of electricity.
https://www.theverge.com/24066646/ai-electricity-energy-watts-generative-consumption
And according to this article the upgrades will happen and consumer’s electric bills will barely change:
At the same time, the costs will be spread out over decades and only total up to (at most) three times the grid’s annual operation and maintenance costs. So in any one year, the costs shouldn’t be crippling. All that might be expected to drive the cost of electricity up. But Li and Jenn suggest that the greater volume of electricity consumption will exert a downward pressure on prices (people will pay more overall but pay somewhat less per unit of electricity).
What’s the cost of not doing it in the long run?
The entirety of human civilization and a severe destabilization to all life on the planet.
Cost? The benefit is no longer wasting resources on a mode of transportation that’s inherently unsustainable, destructive, etc. Those resources would be much better allocated to public transit, light EVs, etc.
I meant for my question to be rhetorical. It should be unthinkable not to do it in the long run. $20bn is a lot of money, unless you consider the cost of completely fucking up your planet or whatever.
It’s strange to see all this whining about electric cars from the US.
In the UK people have been charging cars at home, work, and at car parks for ages, and we’ve not heard the electric companies whining about infrastructure costs. They’ve been rubbing their hands at the thought of all that electricity they’re going to sell, and got the fuck on with it.
I suspect articles like this are just more pro-oil propaganda.
To be fair they are on a third world 110v electrical system which means they need twice the cable size to carry the same current as the UK
The US has a split phase electrical system, meaning that for high current applications (like charging cars!!) 220v is readily available. The current regular outlets are rated for really has no bearing on this discussion. (No excuses for Americans!)
It’s just that in America they realized if they complain enough, they get to rub they’re hands gleefully at the thought of all that electricity they’re going to sell, AND all the public money they’re going to get to upgrade the grid!
So like, 3 months of PG&E bills?
Yeah, neat. Now pay for it & get it done.
this seems low, especially because in like 10 years it will cost like 100 billion
So do it already.
Chump change for us. Just do it.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
California’s electric grid, with its massive solar production and booming battery installations, is already on the cutting edge of the US’s energy transition.
Two researchers at the University of California, Davis—Yanning Li and Alan Jenn—have determined that nearly two-thirds of its feeder lines don’t have the capacity that will likely be needed for car charging.
Updating to handle the rising demand might set its utilities back as much as 40 percent of the existing grid’s capital cost.
However, they have access to uniquely detailed data relevant to California’s ability to distribute electricity (they do not concern themselves with generation).
They also project which households will purchase EVs based on socioeconomic factors, scaled so that adoption matches the state’s goals.
Problems grow a bit more slowly after that, with two-thirds of the feeders overloaded by 2045, a decade after all cars sold in California will be EVs.
The original article contains 463 words, the summary contains 146 words. Saved 68%. I’m a bot and I’m open source!
Well just 5 years ago it would’ve cost just $5 billion.
It would be better with distributed generation like solar. The idea of a central generation point and transmitting it long distances is just not the best way (single point of failure/attack, losses of long distance transmission, often dirty and/or dangerous). Having lots of little solar farms all over (or even private) is better. I’d imagine most of Californians could provide their own EV needs if you have a large enough roof.
Take this with a grain of salt …. I’m not a power engineer but I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
From the article…
The one wild card is direct current fast charging. Eliminating fast chargers entirely would reduce the number of feeders that need upgrades by 12 percent. Converting all public stations to DC fast charging, in contrast, would boost that number by 15 percent. So the details of the upgrades that will be needed will be very sensitive to the impatience of EV drivers.
And considering humanity is impatient, you might as well just assume the higher number.
Impatience wouldn’t make a difference if home charging was more widely available. New home construction to have charging requirements.
Homes with a garage should require at least 1 dedicated 50 amp circuit near a parking space. Apartment complexes should be required to install X number of chargers per unit. There are several options on the market to allow them to charge for the electricity on a per unit basis if utilities aren’t included in rent, or if they want to charge that separately.
Overnight charging doesn’t even need 50A L2. Less than half that is plenty for most users.
19 billion in consulting fees.
